Ryan’s Predictions for the 2014 Oscars

BY RYAN MILOWICKI

The Oscars are less than two hours away, so it’s as fine a time as any to post my predictions for the winners at tonight’s ceremony. I’ve spent the past week rewatching all nine Best Picture nominees, so I feel sufficiently prepared to make my (hopefully) bold predictions! Here goes:

BEST PICTURE

Nominees:

  1. American Hustle
  2. Captain Phillips
  3. Dallas Buyers Club
  4. Gravity
  5. Her
  6. Nebraska
  7. Philomena
  8. 12 Years A Slave
  9. The Wolf Of Wall Street

PREDICTION: 12 Years A Slave (Certainty Level: 40%)

BEST DIRECTOR

Nominees:

  1. David O. Russell (American Hustle)
  2. Alfonso Cuaron (Gravity)
  3. Alexander Payne (Nebraska)
  4. Steve McQueen (12 Years A Slave)
  5. Martin Scorsese (The Wolf Of Wall Street)

PREDICTION: Alfonso Cuaron (Certainty Level: 75%)

BEST ACTOR

Nominees:

  1. Christian Bale (American Hustle)
  2. Bruce Dern (Nebraska)
  3. Leonardo DiCaprio (The Wolf Of Wall Street)
  4. Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years A Slave)
  5. Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club)

PREDICTION: Matthew McConaughey (Certainty Level: 33%)

BEST ACTRESS

Nominees:

  1. Amy Adams (American Hustle)
  2. Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)
  3. Sandra Bullock (Gravity)
  4. Judi Dench (Philomena)
  5. Meryl Streep (August: Osage County)

PREDICTION: Cate Blanchett (Certainty Level: 100%)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Nominees:

  1. Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips)
  2. Bradley Cooper (American Hustle)
  3. Michael Fassbender (12 Years A Slave)
  4. Jonah Hill (The Wolf Of Wall Street)
  5. Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)

PREDICTION: Jared Leto (Certainty Level: 90%)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Nominees:

  1. Sally Hawkins (Blue Jasmine)
  2. Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle)
  3. Lupita Nyong’o (12 Years A Slave)
  4. Julia Roberts (August: Osage County)
  5. June Squibb (Nebraska)

PREDICTION: Lupita Nyong’o (Certainty Level: 55%)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Nominees:

  1. The Croods
  2. Despicable Me 2
  3. Ernest & Celestine
  4. Frozen
  5. The Wind Rises

PREDICTION: Frozen (Certainty Level: 80%)

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Nominees:

  1. The Grandmaster
  2. Gravity
  3. Inside Llewyn Davis
  4. Nebraska
  5. Prisoners

PREDICTION: Gravity (Certainty Level: 90%)

COSTUME DESIGN

Nominees:

  1. American Hustle
  2. The Grandmaster
  3. The Great Gatsby
  4. The Invisible Woman
  5. 12 Years A Slave

PREDICTION: American Hustle (Certainty Level: 40%)

BEST DOCUMENTARY – FEATURE

Nominees:

  1. The Act Of Killing
  2. Cutie And The Boxer
  3. Dirty Wars
  4. The Square
  5. 20 Feet From Stardom

PREDICTION: The Act Of Killing (Certainty Level: 60%)

BEST DOCUMENTARY – SHORT SUBJECT

Nominees:

  1. CaveDigger
  2. Facing Fear
  3. Karama Has No Walls
  4. The Lady In Number 6: Music Saved My Life
  5. Prison Terminal: The Last Days Of Private Jack Hall

PREDICTION: The Lady In Number 6 (Certainty Level: 90%)

BEST FILM EDITING

Nominees:

  1. American Hustle
  2. Captain Phillips
  3. Dallas Buyers Club
  4. Gravity
  5. 12 Years A Slave

PREDICTION: Gravity (Certainty Level: 50%)

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Nominees:

  1. The Broken Circle Breakdown
  2. The Great Beauty
  3. The Hunt
  4. The Missing Picture
  5. Omar

PREDICTION: The Great Beauty (Certainty Level: 60%)

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

Nominees:

  1. Dallas Buyers Club
  2. Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa
  3. The Lone Ranger

PREDICTION: Dallas Buyers Club (Certainty Level: 55%)

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Nominees:

  1. The Book Thief
  2. Gravity
  3. Her
  4. Philomena
  5. Saving Mr. Banks

PREDICTION: Gravity (Certainty Level: 65%)

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

Nominees:

  1. “Happy” (Despicable Me 2)
  2. “Let It Go” (Frozen)
  3. “The Moon Song” (Her)
  4. “Ordinary Love” (Mandela: Long Walk To Freedom)

PREDICTION: “Let It Go” (Certainty Level: 60%)

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Nominees:

  1. American Hustle
  2. Gravity
  3. The Great Gatsby
  4. Her
  5. 12 Years A Slave

PREDICTION: The Great Gatsby (Certainty Level: 50%)

BEST SHORT FILM – ANIMATION

Nominees:

  1. Feral
  2. Get A Horse!
  3. Mr. Hublot
  4. Possessions
  5. Room On The Broom

PREDICTION: Get A Horse! (Certainty Level: 40%)

BEST SHORT FILM – LIVE ACTION

Nominees:

  1. Aquel No Era Yo
  2. Avant Que De Tout Perdre
  3. Helium
  4. Pitaako Mun Kaikki Hoitaa?
  5. The Voorman Problem

PREDICTION: The Voorman Problem (Certainty Level: 33%)

BEST SOUND EDITING

Nominees:

  1. All Is Lost
  2. Captain Phillips
  3. Gravity
  4. The Hobbit: The Desolation Of Smaug
  5. Lone Survivor

PREDICTION: Gravity (Certainty Level: 80%)

BEST SOUND MIXING

Nominees:

  1. Captain Phillips
  2. Gravity
  3. The Hobbit: The Desolation Of Smaug
  4. Inside Llewyn Davis
  5. Lone Survivor

PREDICTION: Gravity (Certainty Level: 80%)

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Nominees:

  1. Gravity
  2. The Hobbit: The Desolation Of Smaug
  3. Iron Man 3
  4. The Lone Ranger
  5. Star Trek Into Darkness

PREDICTION: Gravity (Certainty Level: 75%)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Nominees:

  1. Before Midnight
  2. Captain Phillips
  3. Philomena
  4. 12 Years A Slave
  5. The Wolf Of Wall Street

PREDICTION: 12 Years A Slave (Certainty Level: 60%)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Nominees:

  1. American Hustle
  2. Blue Jasmine
  3. Dallas Buyers Club
  4. Her
  5. Nebraska

PREDICTION: Her (Certainty Level: 35%)

I’ll update this post after the actual Oscars tonight to see how I did overall. Hopefully this helps any of you filling out your last-minute predictions. Good luck in all of your Oscar Pools!

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